Trump’s Second Term Is a Libertarian Failure: Broken Promises, War Powers, Debt, and Loyalty Tests
I am saying this from the same place I stood in November 2016.
I was not a Trump guy then. I am not a Trump guy now. I did not vote for him. I said Rand Paul would have been my guy. I also said I hoped Trump would keep the good promises. That mattered. I was willing to give credit where credit was due, but I was not giving any politician a blank check. In that 2016 video, I said Trump had lied, I did not trust him, and my support for any of his good ideas depended on him keeping those promises.
That is why I am pointing this out now.
Trump’s second term is not a libertarian win. It is a warning. The liberty movement cannot become a fan club for one man. If the standard is freedom, then Trump has failed that standard in several major ways.
Trump’s Attack on Thomas Massie Shows the Problem
Thomas Massie is one of the few Republicans in Congress who still acts like Congress matters. He is strong on war powers. He is strong on debt. He is strong on the Constitution. He does not just clap when the party leader says clap.
That is exactly why Trump targeted him.
In Trump’s second term, the attacks on Massie became a loyalty test. Trump-backed forces helped defeat Massie in a primary, and Trump celebrated it. Reports tied the fight to Massie’s opposition to Trump on issues like Iran, the Epstein files, and executive power.
That is not liberty. That is machine politics.
A freedom movement needs people who say no. It needs men like Massie and Rand Paul who will stand up when the president abuses power. When Trump attacks those people, he is not fighting the swamp. He is protecting his own swamp.
Iran: The Forever War Promise Broke Fast
Trump sold himself as the guy who would stop stupid wars. That sounded good. A lot of libertarians gave him credit for at least talking that way.
But talk is cheap.
Massie introduced a bipartisan War Powers Resolution to stop unauthorized U.S. hostilities in Iran. The point was basic constitutional law: Congress declares war, not one man in the White House.
The Iran conflict became one of the clearest examples of Trump’s second term failing the liberty test. Reuters reported that the House narrowly rejected a resolution aimed at stopping the Iran war unless Congress authorized hostilities.
That should bother every conservative, libertarian, and constitutionalist.
You do not get to complain about Obama’s Libya war, Biden’s foreign policy, or Bush’s Iraq disaster, then excuse Trump when he does the same thing with a different flag pin.
No president should be able to drag the country into war without Congress. Not Obama. Not Bush. Not Biden. Not Trump.
Venezuela: Regime Change Is Not America First
The Venezuela situation is another major failure.
U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and removed him to the United States. The National Constitution Center raised the core question: does the War Powers Resolution apply when U.S. military force is used in Venezuela? That should not even be hard. Of course it does. Military action against another country is not a side project. It is war power.
Reuters also reported U.S. military drills in Caracas after Maduro was captured, along with U.S. involvement in the new political order and Venezuela’s oil resources.
That is not “America First.” That is empire with better branding.
A libertarian position does not mean defending Maduro. He is a socialist thug. Venezuela was wrecked by central planning, corruption, and state control. But being against Maduro does not mean giving the U.S. president open power to run military operations, remove foreign leaders, and manage another country’s oil.
That is how republics turn into empires.
The Big Beautiful Bill Was Debt Politics
The “One Big Beautiful Bill” may be the biggest domestic failure of Trump’s second term.
The CBO estimated Public Law 119-21 would increase the unified budget deficit by $3.4 trillion from 2025 to 2034. That is not small government. That is not fiscal conservatism. That is debt-funded politics.
Yes, the bill included some tax relief. But real tax cuts must come with real spending cuts. Otherwise, politicians are just moving the bill to your children.
The law also turned campaign slogans into temporary gimmicks. The IRS says the “No Tax on Overtime” deduction applies from 2025 through 2028 and is capped at $12,500 for single filers and $25,000 for joint filers. The “No Tax on Tips” deduction is also temporary and capped.
That is not what people heard on the campaign trail. They heard “no tax on tips” and “no tax on overtime.” What they got was a temporary deduction with rules, caps, phaseouts, and expiration dates.
This is exactly how Washington works. Big promise. Complicated bill. Massive debt. Then they hope nobody reads the details.
The Transgender Surgery Funding Claim Needs Accuracy
Some people asked if the Big Beautiful Bill funded transgender surgeries.
The honest answer is no, that is not the clean claim to make.
The House-passed version included language to prohibit federal Medicaid and CHIP funding for gender transition procedures. It also had language about exchange plans and essential health benefits.
But the final law did not include the Medicaid prohibition. The AMA summary of the final Public Law 119-21 specifically says the “prohibition on coverage of gender transition procedures under Medicaid” was not included in the final version.
So the right criticism is this: Trump supporters were sold a culture-war win that did not fully survive the final law.
Do not say the final bill directly funded transgender surgeries unless you can prove that. Say the stronger, cleaner thing: the promised restriction was in the House version, but it was not in the final law. That is another broken promise.
Deportations: The Numbers Do Not Match the Myth
Trump talks like he is the only president who ever enforced immigration law. That is not true.
TRAC reported that Obama logged more than 3.1 million ICE deportations over eight years. Obama’s peak year was over 407,000. Trump’s first term peaked at 269,000 in 2019, and his first term had fewer than 932,000 ICE deportations total.
In the second term, enforcement became more aggressive. MPI reported that the Trump administration claimed 400,000 deportations in its first 250 days, with MPI estimating about 234,000 were ICE interior deportations and 166,000 were CBP removals.
From a libertarian view, there are two truths here.
First, a nation can have borders. Open borders plus a welfare state is not a libertarian dream. It is a subsidy problem.
Second, due process still matters. You do not fix a broken immigration system by giving the executive branch more unchecked power. If the state can ignore process for one unpopular group, it can ignore process for you later.
Tariffs Are Taxes
Trump’s tariffs are another direct attack on free markets.
Tariffs are taxes. They do not magically punish China. They raise costs on American consumers, small businesses, importers, and manufacturers that use imported parts.
Cato reported that the average tariff rate jumped sharply in 2025 and reached levels not seen since the 1930s. Yale Budget Lab estimated that all 2025 tariffs raised the price level by 2.3 percent in the short run, equal to an average household consumer loss of $3,800.
That is not capitalism.
That is government picking winners and losers. It is central planning through the tax code. It is Bidenomics with a different sales pitch.
Compared to Trump’s First Term
Trump’s first term had some defensible points. He appointed better judges than Hillary Clinton would have. He pushed some deregulation. He cut some taxes. He challenged parts of the administrative state.
But even then, the problems were clear.
The 2017 tax law increased deficits. CBO said the tax act raised the primary deficit by $1.8 trillion before feedback, plus about $450 billion in debt service costs.
The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimated Trump approved $8.4 trillion of new ten-year borrowing in his first term, or $4.8 trillion excluding COVID relief.
Trump also failed on marijuana federalism. In 2016, I liked the idea of letting states decide. But in 2018, Jeff Sessions rescinded the Cole Memo, which had given states with legal marijuana more room from federal prosecution pressure. The Justice Department called it a return to federal marijuana enforcement.
So the second term is not a shock. It is the first term’s worst habits with fewer brakes.
More loyalty tests.
More debt.
More executive power.
More tariffs.
More war power abuse.
More slogans that turn into Washington paperwork.
Why I Am Saying This Now
I am saying this because my position did not change.
In 2016, I said I hoped Trump kept his good promises. I said I did not trust him. I said Rand Paul would have been better. I said I would judge Trump by what he did, not by the cult around him.
That is still the standard.
A pragmatic libertarian can admit Hillary would have been worse. A pragmatic libertarian can admit Obama was awful on drones, Libya, Syria, medical marijuana raids, and federal power. But that does not make Trump king.
The liberty standard is simple.
No undeclared wars.
No runaway debt.
No tariffs.
No attacks on constitutional dissenters like Thomas Massie.
No executive power worship.
No fake tax-cut gimmicks that expire after the election.
No pretending a politician is liberty just because he fights people you dislike.
Trump’s second term proves the danger of making politics about personality instead of principle. The liberty movement should not be owned by Trump, the GOP, or any party machine.
If Trump does something right, say so.
When he violates freedom, say so louder.
That is not betrayal. That is the whole point.
Sources and URLs
- Ryan “Dickie” Thompson 2016 Trump Transcript|Uploaded transcript in this conversation
- CBO Estimated Budgetary Effects of Public Law 119-21|https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61570
- CBO Statutory PAYGO Effects of Public Law 119-21|https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61659
- IRS One Big Beautiful Bill Act Tax Deductions|https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/one-big-beautiful-bill-act-tax-deductions-for-working-americans-and-seniors
- IRS No Tax on Tips and Overtime|https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/one-big-beautiful-bill-how-to-take-advantage-of-no-tax-on-tips-and-overtime
- GovInfo House-Passed H.R. 1 Gender Transition Language|https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/BILLS-119hr1eh/html/BILLS-119hr1eh.htm
- AMA Summary of Final Public Law 119-21|https://www.ama-assn.org/system/files/select-provisions-implementation-dates-obbba-summary.pdf
- Massie War Powers Resolution on Iran|https://massie.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=395731
- Reuters Iran War Powers Vote|https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-house-narrowly-rejects-bid-rein-trump-iran-war-powers-2026-05-14/
- National Constitution Center Venezuela War Powers Analysis|https://constitutioncenter.org/blog/does-the-war-powers-resolution-apply-to-military-actions-taken-in-venezuela
- Reuters Venezuela Military Drill Report|https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/us-conducts-military-drill-over-venezuelan-capital-caracas-2026-05-23/
- TRAC Obama vs Trump Deportations|https://tracreports.org/tracatwork/detail/A6019.html
- Migration Policy Institute Trump Second-Term Enforcement|https://www.migrationpolicy.org/news/new-era-enforcement-trump-2
- Cato Tariffs as Fiscal Policy|https://www.cato.org/research-briefs-economic-policy/tariffs-fiscal-policy
- Yale Budget Lab Tariff Effects|https://budgetlab.yale.edu/research/where-we-stand-fiscal-economic-and-distributional-effects-all-us-tariffs-enacted-2025-through-april
- CRFB Trump and Biden National Debt|https://www.crfb.org/papers/trump-and-biden-national-debt
- CBO 2017 Tax Act Budget Effects|https://www.cbo.gov/publication/53787
- DOJ Marijuana Enforcement Memo|https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/justice-department-issues-memo-marijuana-enforcement



